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americans, of course, going to be waiting with baited breath to see what happens with the fiscal cliff. thank you very much for joining us from mastercard advisers. >> terrific. thank you. >>> the u.s. economy is hanging in the balance with just five days left for congress to come up with a deal to avert the fiscal cliff. let's get to our senior economic reporter, steve leesman, with his predictions for the economy in 2013. >> reporter: >>> trying to figure out what's going to happen in 2013 depends on one very important development -- whether the u.s. goes over the fiscal cliff in a few days' time, and for how long. if it's avoided, there's considerable upside for the economy. we could see at least one and maybe two quarters of growth above 3%. the kind of growth that would put people back to work and lower the unemployment rate. why? because business has been holding back investment amid the uncertainty. unleashing business spending would add to the growth from the nascent rebound in housing and from the consumer who has hung in there despite tough times. in fact, we could see unempl
. >> simon, thanks. >> it could be fiscal cliff-proof, the big trade you cannot avoid coming up next. >> and a montana rancher makes his voice heard on estate taxes. if we go over the cliff, he said it could put farms out of business. >> and the governor of montana will weigh in on that himself. more on that when we come back. stay tuned. [ cows moo ] [ sizzling ] more rain... [ thunder rumbles ] ♪ [ male announcer ] when the world moves... futures move first. learn futures from experienced pros with dedicated chats and daily live webinars. and trade with papermoney to test-drive the market. ♪ all on thinkorswim. from td ameritrade. bob, these projections... they're... optimistic. productivity up, costs down, time to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory systems... ups? ups. not fantasy? who would have thought? i did. we did, bob. we did. got it. . >>> another day, another step closer to the edge. talking about the fiscal cliff, of course. how are traders protecting the
to go, guys. thank you for your thoughts and ideas today on our beloved fiscal cliff. >> five days to go and counting before we fall off the so-called fiscal cliff and while there's no deal, more news out of washington and our very own john harwood is there. >> reporter: mandy, we've got a letter from the republican leadership to the president and to the democrats in the senate saying that the house has acted, they passed legislation last year to extend all the tax cuts and to shift the scheduled sequester cuts from defense to domestic programs, but, of course, in urging the senate to act saying, well, we've acted, now it's your turn, we're simply not going to see the democrats take them up on that because president obama since that letter has won the election and now we're looking at the possibility of a mini deal that would get enacted before january 1st but so far all we've heard are the sounds of silence in the negotiations. a senior white house official told me today when i asked was there any holiday season progress, back channel progress over the past couple of days, got a one-wor
, sue. >>> a special report on fiscal cliff negotiations that is in addition to our coverage all day awning on cnbc and cnbc.com. simon? >> hundred efs thousands of jobs are waiting for congress to act over the next few hours. who is in trouble? more "power lunch" in two minutes plus of course president obama speaking in about 12. this is cnbc. [ male announcer ] at scottrade, we believe the more you know, the better you trade. so we have ongoing webinars and interactive learning, plus, in-branch seminars at over 500 locations, where our dedicated support teams help you know more so your money can do more. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our teams have the information you want when you need it. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. sfls welcome back to "power lunch." one of the big barometers today on how the market feels about the ofds going over the fiscal cliff is the defense sector. the defense sector index today in fact back up near the highs after that report from john harwood that they may be close to a de
the latest on what she's hearing on the fiscal cliff negotiations. what you got, m? >> hi there. thanks much. i've been on the phone all day with a number of house republicans and senators. and what i'm hearing is that the president's press conference made this bill a much tougher sell in the house. at this point, yes they are meeting at 5:00 p.m., that gop conference. but it's not about anything fiscal cliff related as you heard from john harwood. basically thes gop expected that even though they were reluctant to agree to any tax increases, they were going back to their constituents and saying we are agreeing to taxes going up on anyone making $450,000 or higher and they expected that the tax conversation would be done for 2012 and that they would begin going into 2013 with the conversation over spending cuts. however, that press conference where he basically said it's not going to be on the backs of seniors and we need more revenue suggested that the president is going to seek loopholes closed, exemptions closed in the tax code and possibly further tax increases for more revenue. and my s
. >> thanks, hampton. >>> once again, the big story tonight, no fiscal cliff deal and not even a new offer from the white house. three days to go. president obama asked the senate leaders to try to make a deal. we'll get more on all of it from washington next. so, this board gives me rates for progressive direct and other car insurance companies? yes. but you're progressive, and they're them. yes. but they're here. yes. are you...? there? yes. no. are you them? i'm me. but those rates are for... them. so them are here. yes! you want to run through it again? no, i'm good. you got it? yes. rates for us and them -- now that's progressive. call or click today. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] everyone deserves the gift of all day pain relief. this season, discover aleve. all day pain relief with just two pills. >>> welcome back to "the kudlow report." i'm michelle caruso-cabrera in for larry kudlow. we continue to wait for a fiscal deal. president obama has punted the decision to the senate asking them to come up with a deal. the markets don't like it. they sold off today during the after-hou
. it was great. thanks, guys. we've got to go. >> can you see this? we're giving out the fiscal cliff bars today. >> bye, everybody. happy new year, joe. right now, time for "squawk on the street." ♪ >> one final trading session for 2012. and it comes, of course, with the add eed drama of a fiscal cliff set to take place 15 hours from now. i'm carl, with melissa lee. cramer and faber are off today. good morning to you, dan. >> good morning. >> the house gaveling into session just a few moments ago. business there is going to start at 10:00 a.m. eastern time. futures are showing some resilience as becky said, despite no deal yet in congress. but remember, the sell-off on friday and friday night was pretty severe. the dow is set to open below 13,000. markets in europe mixed after a shortened session in the uk, france and spain. our road map starts right where we were months ago, waiting for the 112th congress to agree on a debt reduction package. the senate convenes at 11:00 a.m. >> the dow had its worst day in a month on friday. set to close december with a loss. the question is, does it contin
. >> you, too. thanks a lot. >> meantime, fiscal cliff uncertainty isn't the only wild card investors should be worried about. we have a strategist who says there are other x factors investors need to consider. we have the chief investment strategist at bno capital markets joining us this morning. brian, good morning to you. >> thanks for having us, carl. >> so if the cliff isn't enough to worry about what else is there? >> well, there's always things to worry about that people aren't expecting. you know, the fiscal cliff clearly is what everyone is talking about and our view is it will not be viewed as a win for the politicians because it is something clearly that they have to do. let's look at how politicians can potentially see a win going forward. we think that's going after the, quote-unquote, evil financial market. you've seen so many big banks be in the headlines over the past few years. consumer america clearly still does not trust the financial system and so we think that over regulation of really the big money center banks is what is coming over the next few years where you'
are in this position, the fiscal cliff imminent arrival, and we've been seeing it coming, a lot of people are scrambling to make plans assuming we go off the cliff. hampton pearson is in washington with the ripple effect. hampton. >> thank you, tyler. this is a wealth version of last-minute christmas shopping. with two business days left to protect assets primarily from the tax consequences of going over the cliff. tax planners say it's been a banner year, especially for estate planning. there's a big change coming with the gift tax. right now there's a $5 million exemption and the tax rate is 55%. at midnight it drops to a million and the tax rate goes to 55%. the capital gains expected to rise from 15 to 20%. there's a tax on raises over $200,000 a year. a future cap on charitable deductions and among those closely watching president obama and house speaker john boehner for any kind of break through, millions of married couples facing a higher tax burden if we go over the cliff. the bush era tax law eliminated the marriage clause meaning that incomes of couples earning as little as $80,
. >> please. >> come join us thanks to mary. all right. so not a banner year for retail. we have fiscal cliff and debt ceiling fears. that's driving that. how do you invest now? we are about to ask a top money manager. [ male announcer ] citi turns 200 this year. in that time there've been some good days. and some difficult ones. but, through it all, we've persevered, supporting some of the biggest ideas in modern history. so why should our anniversary matter to you? because for 200 years, we've been helping ideas move from ambition to achievement. and the next great idea could be yours. ♪ and the next great idea could be yours. well, if itmr. margin?margin. don't be modest, bob. you found a better way to pack a bowling ball. that was ups. and who called ups? you did, bob. i just asked a question. it takes a long time to pack a bowling ball. the last guy pitched more ball packers. but you... you consulted ups. you found a better way. that's logistics. that's margin. find out what else ups knows. i'll do that. you're on a roll. that's funny. i wasn't being funny, bob. i know. when the doctor
sector. and hoping to catch more of the housing uprise. but with the fiscal cliff looming, i was wondering if you would advise more defenseless strategy like consumer staples or something going into the new year. >> what i was thinking i told a friend of mine today conagra reported an amazing number. that's the kind of thing i would think about. nice yield. good growth. i think that's the best idea. why don't we go to brooks in ohio. brooks was here. brooks? >> caller: my question is about abbott, the split, how's it going down and which side are you on? >> good news today. the split will be included in the s&p which is why it was up. abbott is going higher. that's why my travel trust owns it. things seem dysfunctional in washington but even now it's better to be a buyer than a seller if you know where to look. "mad money" will be right back. >> announcer: coming up, the world is overflowing with information and tibco helps make sense of ones and zeros. while the market is up nice for the year, its stock is now down big. does today's turn to the green mean it's time to logon
first in do we get a fiscal cliff resolution or does eamon lose his voice. >> save it there, buddy. >> it's the voice cliff. eamon, thanks very much. want to bring in our next guests for their reaction. >> "closing bell" exchange, dan greenhouse, cnbc contributor, we've got todd schoenberger from land coal capital, rick santelli, steve guilfoyle on the floor of the exchange with us as well. let's see. let's start with you, mr. grinch. you sell on any strengths, even now, even if we get a deal? >> well, fundamental analysis is thrown out the window. this obviously is a headline-driven market. any time you're hearing about something that's going to take place, any hint at any type of negotiation, any type of a deal, the markets tend to respond. right now i think the markets are calling their bluff right now. we're not expecting a lot out of what's taking place in washington at this moment. here's a thing, guys. even if there is a deal, it's going to be tough. you'll have a knee jerk reaction. markets should be rallying, might be a great opportunity to sell into strength, because when
yet. we're still five days away from falling off the proverbial fiscal cliff and wall street, like everybody else, is waiting for some kind of a solution here, and as you can see by today's numbers the waiting game continues, although we thank brian sullivan and you, mandy, for bringing us back to positive territory in the last hour. >> i'm not sure we can take credit but we'll take it. >> the dow is up a fraction at the moment. 13,139 after a meandering much of the day. the nasdaq hardest hit today. technology has been very volatile recently. still down a fraction right now. 13 points, fraction percentage-wise and the s&p is down 3.33 at 1423. five days left until the fiscal cliff deadline, and though the market has been very resilient to this point, what happens if we go over the cliff and if lawmakers cannot get it together come january 1st? will it be a big meltdown for wall street? that's what everybody wants to know. >> certainly hope know. in today's "closing bell" exchange, former chief economist of the vice president joe biden, oliver perch from gary goldberg and matt ches
in this environment. thanks so much. jane wells. when we come back, find out how the fiscal cliff is affecting the euro's move higher. here's one corporate executive's view of the fiscal cliff. >> i'm the president and ceo and owner of canon safe. the fiscal cliff is going to impact me as a business owner. it makes me uncertain. it makes me wonder, should i expand? should i hire more people? do i need to lay people off? the bottom line, we're at this point in a lack of leadership. it's an embarrassment how washington is acting. i am begging somebody in washington, step up. be accountable. take responsibility. solve the root cause of these issues. get smart about your weight. >>> the graphic says it, market flash. welcome back to the program. let's look at best buy. the stock's not moving higher, but there are positive comments out there. rare positive comments from an analyst about the store upgrades. bby has been remodeling a number of stores. david chick says they are a real improvement from the old stores. he visited a bunch post, pre, and post remodel. he thinks these are pretty good. he b
,661 an ounce. joe. >> thank you. lawmakers are continuing fiscal cliff discussions this morning. let's get to john harwood with an update. i have now am viewing the ball falling tonight. if there is not a deal -- and i don't know, you're going to tell us what the chances are, but that gives a whole new meaning as that's coming down. we hit the cliff when that -- >> that would be the bottom of the cliff. >> this is the first time ever when it's more than just ushering in a new year, but it would usher in serious fiscal head winds. >> it would, but there's still a chance this is going to work. >> have you talked to anyone this morning? >> i did. i got a message this morning on my blackberry about ten minutes ago from our senate republican source who said talks with biden were good last night. they went late. that is a promising sign that there is still a chance. they didn't break down, but there's still a chance that biden and mcconnell can come out with some sort of a deal, maybe the income threshold would be $400,000, maybe it would be $500,000, but it looks possible that they're going to
to you. >> they certainly have. rick santelli, thank you. the fiscal cliff talks also weighing on the energy markets. let's go to bertha coombs at the nymex. >> we are seeing a little bit of a pullback here when it comes to brent futures, and also across the board pretty much in energy today. not what you would necessarily expect with the weaker dollar. the concern, of course, is that if we do go over that fiscal cliff, no deal by the end of the year. that we will see some recessionary pressures here in the first quarter. at least that's what the congressional budget office is talking about. nat gas is feeling the pressure after a strong rally over the last couple of days. we're getting profit taking there. ironically, it comes after the commitment of traders report from the cftc saying we saw the biggest increase in terms of net long positions in nymex futures. gold holding steady. not necessarily being the big safe haven play. but it is among the strongest performers in the metals complex. we are seeing some strength in po laid yum and platinum. that according to rbc because
with as you probably know. the fiscal cliff headline watch continues. you just heard john kanas say the market not too concerned. futures up 21 points. decent data out of europe, we will talk about in a minute what a day for the asian markets again. also coming up. our road map begins at andrews air force base where the president arrives in a couple of hours, cutting his hawaiian vacation short to address the fiscal cliff s there really any hope in the last attempt? does the market fade if there's no news tomorrow night? >> the nikkei continues its 21-month run. how much is the boj willing to put up with? >> looking a at potential strike in the nation's port on the east and southern coast, the first since '77 that could cost retailers and importers billions. businesses now asking its white house to get involved. >>> you can now get the nokia lumia for free, depending on the service provider contract you sign s that standard practice or a sign the company's flagship phone suspect selling well? >>> we will start off with news about the fiscal cliff. congress returning to capitol hill today to tr
. >>> okay, coming up, deal or no deal? that's the question. we're going to talk fiscal cliff expectations and what d.c. negotiations could mean for the final few trading days of 2012 when we return. [ male announcer ] at scottrade, we believe the more you know, the better you trade. so we have ongoing webinars and interactive learning, plus, in-branch seminars at over 500 locations, where our dedicated support teams help you know more so your money can do more. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our teams have the information you want when you need it. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. it's another reason more investors are saying... and you wouldn't have it any other way.e. but your erectile dysfunction - you know, that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently or urgently.
.s. economy going over the fiscal cliff. the president will meet with congressional leaders at the whiteout at about 3:00 p.m. eastern. speaker john boehner has called the house back into session sunday evening. house majority leader eric cantor is telling members to be prepared to work through january 2nd. both sides are still far apart on taxes and spending cuts. spending majority leader says harry reid says prospects for monday are unlikely. senate majority leader believes there is still time for an agreement to be reached. >> republicans aren't about to sign a blank just just because we find ourselves at the edge of the cliff. that wouldn't be fair to the american people. >> alistair newton joins us here as a new reuters poll shows americans blame republicans more than democrats or president obama for the fiscal crisis. 27% cited the gop is responsible. 16% blaming the president, 6% pointing to the democrats while 31% said they would blame all of the above for going over the cliff. alistair newton, you've seen the attitudes of the american people. i guess we're going over the cliff. >>
. he cut short his vacation in hawaii in order to resume talks on the fiscal cliff. we're looking at pictures of him in honolulu as he's boarding air force one. we're looking at whether congress will be back in session in order to reach a deal as the clock ticks towards that year-end deadline. >>> the imf says france should give itself more leeway to meet mission targets. the company's 3% of gdp with more pressing -- than cussing excess from public finances. the imf has warned against more tax hikes warning these could further restrict growth. he says it's built a bit of momentum, but still needs to do more. >> france has to reform. france cannot -- that can avoid reforms. it can be again reforms which might be different. but we need to reform. let me say that from that perspective, the recent decisions going the right direction and i think that the government has understood the need to help companies create jobs. so what is important is that this momentum is there going forward. i mean, the momentum, positive momentum regarding the negotiation between the trade unions and the cor
be talking cliff even on monday. >> thanks. >> coming up, businesses bracing for the fiscal cliff. we'll ask chairman and ceo thomas fanning if the deal is possible and how his company is preparing for the cliff. >> still ahead, as we approach the fiscal cliff, hopes for a debt deal are fading. we'll talk to strategists from both parties about how to prevent disaster, and what happens if we go over the cliff. judd gregg and julie epstein will join us at the top of the hour. you won't take my life. you won't take our future. aids affects us all. even babies. chevron is working to stop mother-to-child transmission. our employees and their families are part of the fight. and we're winning. at chevron nigeria, we haven't had a reported case in 12 years. aids is strong. aids is strong. but we are stronger. and aids... ♪ aids is going to lose. aids is going to lose. ♪ with scottrader streaming quotes, any way you want. fully customize it for your trading process -- from thought to trade, on every screen. and all in real time. which makes it just like having your own trading floor, right at you
. with senate majority leader harry reid warning we are going over the fiscal cliff, let's pose the question is it better if that were to happen. are automatic spending cuts perhaps what the country needs? josh bulk is a national correspondent with the fiscal times. josh, good to have you back. good to see you. >> good to see you. >> it's not all that bad if we go over the cliff. is there a good, compelling argument to make for doing so? >> there are compelling arguments to make for going over the cliff. it might create pressure for a genuine and real deal, not just with tax reform but spending cuts, but there's a lot of dangers in doing it. one of the big things that's screaming on my radar is the alternative minimum tax. that's a tax that is meant to prevent the wealthiest from escaping the irs altogether but unfortunately it was never adjusted for inflation. if we go over the cliff, the amt will kick in not just for 2013 but for 2012. and you've got 30 million americans that are going to face an additional $86 billion in taxes. >> if they don't fix that particular thing, not only will tax
as wide ranging as the presidential election, the fiscal cliff, jobs of the future, and even a few movie stars. we wanted to take a few minutes to highlight the best of 2012. this is the year that was, and thank you for sharing it with me. >> i wish the people had more rational conversation to collaborate to how we can make the country grow faster, create jobs and create opportunity. >> america's always thinking it's in decline. the decline is by people left, right, and center. it's almost like a publishing craze. not quite "50 shades of gray" or sexy, but, still -- >> the biggest priority for the united states right now is getting recovery going at a rate that is rapid enough to produce sustained reductions in unemployment. >> under current law, on january 1st, 2013, it's going to be a massive fiscal cliff of large spending cuts and tax increases. >> find some way to avoid the fiscal cliff, to avoid doing anything that would contract the economy now. >> does that mean extending the tax cuts? >> the real issue is not whether they should be extended for another few months. the real issue
a thims up umbs up f. >> alexander, thank you. she's focused on the fiscal cliff while many are worried about a year-end sell-off which i think you've argued is already happening a bit. >> definitely. >> so where are we? >> in the last couple of weeks, muni yields have risen. it's start to go change. but what happens is that the latest round of the proposals not only had this 28% deduction, but it would be retroactive. so all mini bonds outstanding, which would be a sacred cow that you would never touch. throwing the market into real turmoil. >> and so what's your sense right now, in terms of what's on the table, what's not on the table? >> exactly. if there were a table right now, i think people are probably getting away from the idea that there would be this retroactive taxation, essentially. but it still is very, very likely that that 28% cap on deductions will include municipal bonds. >> and joe asked the right question off camera. this is setting up a right fight between the states and federal government. >> yes. we would prefer to sell tax exempt funds when we preferred not to hav
and as maria will remind you there is still no deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. so what is an investor to do with their money right now? >> let's bring in our guests and our own bob pisani. good to see you guys. thanks for joining us. kevin, what is your take in terms of investing into year end and going into 2013? >> i just think you have to be realistic about the fiscal cliff issue. we don't know what the magnitude of the damage is going to be to gdp next year but what we do know is that the current track run in terms of fiscal sustainability just isn't right. we can't run trillion dollar deficits for a year and expect to get away with that long term. so i think there is a trade-off here in terms of some penalty to growth next year. longer term there are benefits though and going into the year i think you just have to have maybe a little cash in the portfolio but be looking to put money to work in companies that are going to survive, good balance sheets and consistent profitability. stocks are cheap relative to bonds so i don't want to get too defensive here. >> you were with us at the top
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. happy new year, guys. >> happy new year, bill. >> thanks very much. >>> we're still sitting up by nearly 100 points on the dow. president obama earlier on today saying it does appear a deal on the fiscal cliff is nearing. it is within sight. obviously a bit of work still to be done here. even mitch mcconnell says we are very, very close. so the markets have moved up on that hope we will get a done deal and avert the fiscal cliff. >>> positioning portfolios for the new year, i can majs is tricky right now. there's a lot of mess going on in d.c. we're going to help. we're going to give you the single best play for 2013. >>> and also next, two congressman, one democrat one republican. they're going to talk to us about the fiscal cliff. are they happy or sad? and can they rise above to get a deal done? "closing bell" will be back after this break. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 when i'm trading, i'm totally focused. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and the streetsmart edge trading platform from charles schwab... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 gives me tools that help me find opportunities more easily.
the fiscal cliff. it avoids the worst outcomes and we're then going to have some tough negotiation necessary terms of how we continue to reduce the deficit, grow the economy, create -- >> but this fight comes back. now, i want to ask you specifically about entitlements, medicare and social security. are you prepared in the first year of your second term to significantly reform those two programs, to go beyond the cuts you've suggested to benefits in medicare, that your own dead commission suggested you would have to do if you were going to shore up medicare at least? are you prepared to do that in your first year of a second term? >> what i've said is i am prepared to do everything i can to make sure that medicare and social security are there not just for this generation and for future generations. >> you have to talk tough to seniors. >> i already have. one of the proposals we made is something called change cpi which basically makes an adjustment in terms of how inflation is calculated on social secu
Search Results 0 to 27 of about 28